River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
RAC
5 - 2
RIV
34%
30%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
RIV
2 - 0
TAL
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
RIV
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
4 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
BOC
0 - 0
IND
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
CAU
0 - 4
BOC
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
BOC
2 - 0
HUR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |