River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
CAU
0 - 0
RIV
28%
29%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
4 - 2
MWA
78%
14%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1986 |
RIV
3 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
GLP
0 - 1
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1986 |
RIV
1 - 2
CEN
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1986 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1986 |
FER
1 - 1
BOC
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
3 - 2
MWA
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 0
ITA
83%
12%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1986 |
BOC
1 - 1
PEÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |