River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
BAN
1 - 2
RIV
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 2
VEL
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
SLO
1 - 3
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
BOC
3 - 1
TEM
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
FER
1 - 0
BOC
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 1
HUR
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |