River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1970 |
UNI
1 - 2
RIV
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
NOB
1 - 1
RIV
37%
28%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
HUR
2 - 4
RIV
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 2
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
3 - 3
QUI
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
UNI
1 - 3
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
BOC
4 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
LAN
0 - 2
BOC
43%
29%
28%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
AND
1 - 2
BOC
41%
28%
30%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |