River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
HUR
1 - 3
RIV
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAU
73%
15%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
RIV
2 - 2
BOC
61%
24%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
BOC
2 - 0
IND
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
BOC
1 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
CAU
1 - 1
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BOC
0 - 1
SMA
78%
14%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |