River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1966 |
IND
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
2 - 0
GLP
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 3
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
RIV
1 - 1
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
EST
3 - 4
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
0 - 2
IND
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
BOC
1 - 3
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOC
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOC
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |