River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
0 - 1
RIV
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
RIV
4 - 0
HUR
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
EST
0 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BOC
3 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SLO
1 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1965 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOC
28%
26%
45%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
BOC
2 - 0
GLP
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |