River Plate vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
RIV
2 - 2
DCM
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
RIV
0 - 2
BOC
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
RAC
5 - 2
RIV
34%
30%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
RIV
2 - 0
TAL
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
RIV
16%
25%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
OPE
2 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
BOL
4 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPE
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |