River Plate vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
RIV
9 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 12 | 72 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
0 - 2
RIV
18%
21%
61%
|
84 | 12 | 72 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1970 |
RIV
1 - 3
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
BOC
2 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 3
BOC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 2
BOL
26%
21%
53%
|
70 | 11 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1969 |
OLI
2 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |