River Plate vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CFC
3 - 1
RIV
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
LIG
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 1
GIM
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 1
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
LIG
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 0
VEL
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
3 - 2
GOD
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
GLP
2 - 2
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
EST
25%
30%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |