Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 3-1
River Plate vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
RIV
4 - 1
ATT
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATT
3 - 0
RIV
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 2
SCI
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RIV
6 - 0
ALD
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 2
ATP
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATP
0 - 2
COR
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
ATP
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |