River Plate vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
5 - 0
RIV
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
4 - 0
ALB
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SLO
1 - 1
RIV
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 0
CEN
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOC
72%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SCI
2 - 1
ATM
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |