River Plate vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
RIV
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
RIV
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
GOD
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIV
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 2
QUI
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
ARS
32%
30%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 0
ANZ
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARS
3 - 1
RAC
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |