River Plate vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
RIV
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 0
CEN
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 3
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
BAN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
BOC
1 - 2
RIV
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 4
ARS
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ARS
0 - 3
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
GOD
0 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |