River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 1
RAF
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TAL
3 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
RIV
2 - 1
BOC
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 2
INS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
ARG
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
HUR
3 - 0
ARG
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ARG
2 - 2
TFE
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DYJ
2 - 1
ARG
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |