River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
GIM
0 - 4
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1978 |
RIV
5 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
PLA
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 3
VEL
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
TAL
1 - 0
RIV
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
IND
1 - 2
ARG
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 2
BEL
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARG
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 2
HUR
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1977 |
LLG
3 - 2
ARG
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |