River Plate vs 31 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1967 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
6 - 2
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
4 - 0
SFE
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
31 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1967 |
RAC
6 - 0
OCT
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
1 - 2
IND
29%
21%
51%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
6 - 2
SFE
28%
21%
52%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
OCT
0 - 4
RIV
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 84 | 63 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1967 |
OCT
3 - 0
RAC
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 84 | 64 | +1 |