CA Neuville vs FC Libourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
12º
12º
57
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Neuville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CNF
1 - 2
LES
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
CNF
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CNF
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 0
CNF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CNF
3 - 0
GUE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Libourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
GUE
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
POI
1 - 4
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
FCL
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
GDB
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 2
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |