Atlético Mogi vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
MOG
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
MOG
77%
14%
8%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
5 | 37 | 32 | +3 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 0
MOG
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SJS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
SJS
34%
24%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SJS
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SJS
1 - 0
MOG
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 5 | 26 | 0 |