Atlético Mogi vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 1
UNI
6%
15%
79%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
MOG
83%
12%
5%
|
5 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FLA
6 - 1
MOG
73%
17%
10%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MOG
0 - 6
MAN
13%
17%
71%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SJS
9 - 0
MOG
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
GUA
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 0
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 2
GDS
23%
21%
55%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |