Milagres vs Lodosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milagres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAH
2 - 0
CAM
17%
19%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
5 - 0
CAV
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
CAM
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
6 - 0
CDC
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 4
CAM
53%
21%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lodosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LOD
2 - 0
CDS
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
FUN
3 - 1
LOD
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAH
2 - 3
LOD
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LOD
1 - 2
CAV
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LOU
6 - 3
LOD
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |