CA Lugano vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 0
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 4
YUP
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
DPA
3 - 3
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
CBA
38%
27%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
3 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 0
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
YUP
0 - 1
VIC
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 0
LAM
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |