CA Lugano vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
YUP
2 - 2
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 2
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
JUU
35%
29%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
SBA
54%
24%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
SMG
0 - 0
JUU
43%
29%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
SMG
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 1
SBA
51%
26%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 2
SMG
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
SMG
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |