CA Lugano vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 0
MUÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
63%
23%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 2
JUU
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 1
SMA
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 2
SBA
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 2
SMA
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
SMA
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |