CA Lugano vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 2
LUG
32%
27%
40%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
CES
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CBA
1 - 0
LUG
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAA
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
LUG
29%
29%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
SBA
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
ARR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |