CA Lugano vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ITU
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 2
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
CBA
36%
27%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
MUÑ
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
ALE
50%
25%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
76%
17%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
60%
23%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 2
ALE
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |