CA Lugano vs Juventud Unida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
9º
4º
15
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CES
3 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 0
MUÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUG
45%
27%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
CBA
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
CES
2 - 0
JUU
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 1
MUÑ
32%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 1
JUU
58%
25%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
2 - 1
MER
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |