CA Lugano vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
SBA
1 - 1
LUG
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CBA
2 - 2
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 1
LIN
29%
28%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
CLA
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
JUU
31%
27%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
CBA
2 - 1
MUÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
DPA
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 1
MUÑ
71%
18%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
PUE
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |