CA Lugano vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 3
LUG
46%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
YUP
1 - 0
LUG
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 3
CBA
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 2
LUG
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
ARM
22%
26%
51%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
LAM
1 - 1
MUÑ
60%
25%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
MUÑ
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MUÑ
1 - 0
DPA
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
YUP
0 - 1
MUÑ
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |