CA Lugano vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
YUP
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 2
MUÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
MUÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
ALE
28%
29%
43%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 1
MUÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |