CA Lugano vs Defensores de Cambaceres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 3
SBA
27%
27%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
PUE
5 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
DPA
42%
27%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
JUU
0 - 1
LUG
43%
26%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 1
MUÑ
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
6 - 1
CBA
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
SBA
1 - 1
CAM
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
CES
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
ARR
55%
24%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |