CA Lugano vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
YUP
59%
24%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
LUG
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 0
CLA
47%
26%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CBA
2 - 1
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
MUÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
CES
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
ALE
31%
29%
40%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 0
CES
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |