CA Lugano vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CBA
1 - 0
LUG
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 1
CAA
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
LUG
29%
29%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
CLA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIE
0 - 0
LUG
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CES
2 - 2
JUU
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
SBA
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MUÑ
1 - 4
CES
31%
29%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |