CA Lugano vs Central Ballester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
PUE
6 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 0
LUG
59%
24%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 2
CAÑ
45%
28%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 2
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
SBA
44%
27%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central Ballester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
CBA
0 - 3
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
CBA
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CBA
2 - 5
CAÑ
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CLA
1 - 0
CBA
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CBA
1 - 3
SBA
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |