CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
9º
10º
25
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 2
LUG
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ARR
4 - 2
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
JUU
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
DPA
1 - 1
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
CBA
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
SBA
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 0
ARR
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 1
SBA
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 0
DPA
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |