CA Lugano vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
9º
10º
38
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 2
LUG
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 2
DPA
60%
23%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 0
SBA
48%
28%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 3
ARR
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
NOB
5%
17%
77%
|
36 | 83 | 47 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 2
MER
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |