CA Lugano vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
LUG
15%
25%
61%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALE
49%
27%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
YUP
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ITU
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 2
LUG
47%
26%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
MUÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CES
0 - 1
ARR
24%
26%
50%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
ALE
50%
25%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
YUP
2 - 0
ARR
49%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |