CA Lugano vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
ARR
30%
28%
43%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
YUP
62%
21%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
RPI
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
YUP
68%
21%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 2
ARM
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ARM
2 - 0
CBA
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CAA
1 - 1
ARM
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 1
MUÑ
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -3 |