Lito vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
84.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
HTT
0 - 1
CAL
33%
21%
46%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
CPA
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
EDP
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
POT
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BVS
1 - 0
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
CSM
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |