Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-2
Lanús vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARG
0 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 0
GOD
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
2 - 0
LAN
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 0
RAC
30%
25%
44%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 1
LAN
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 2
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 3
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 0
UCE
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |