Lanús vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
STR
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
LAN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
LAN
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
NOB
1 - 1
LAN
33%
26%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 1
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
CAU
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CAU
0 - 3
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 0
CAU
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |