Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-1
Lanús vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
LAN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
EST
57%
25%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 2
LAN
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
LAN
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LAN
3 - 0
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 2
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 1
RAC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 2
LAN
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 3
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
RAC
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |