Lanús vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
2.2%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
TIG
2 - 3
LAN
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
CCS
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DYJ
0 - 4
LAN
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
POR
30%
27%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SBA
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 3
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 2
POR
58%
26%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |