Conmebol Sudamericana Final
Global 3-1
Lanús vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
LAN
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
LIB
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
GLP
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 2
LAN
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
PPE
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
LAN
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 2
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAO
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
GRE
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |