Lanús vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 1
DYJ
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 0
RAF
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
TEM
1 - 1
LAN
17%
25%
59%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
OLI
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
CHI
68%
22%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
SMA
28%
29%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
DYJ
2 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
29%
30%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |