Lanús vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
RAF
2 - 3
LAN
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
2 - 1
TAL
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BAN
2 - 1
LAN
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
LAN
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 4
RAC
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHI
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
CEN
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |