Lanús vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
LAN
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
ATT
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TEM
0 - 1
LAN
16%
25%
60%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
DYJ
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
LAN
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
NOB
1 - 1
CAU
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
4 - 1
NOB
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NOB
5 - 0
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
NOB
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |