Lanús vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
LAN
2 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
LAN
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BOC
1 - 2
LAN
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
LAN
22%
28%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 2
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 1
NOB
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 2
GOD
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GLP
2 - 1
NOB
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |