Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 5-2
Lanús vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
CCS
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 2
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
3 - 1
LAN
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 2
TIG
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
LAN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 2
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 4
LIG
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BON
0 - 0
LIG
8%
17%
75%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |