Lanús vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 4
LAN
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 2
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAN
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
RAF
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
IND
1 - 3
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
IND
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
IND
1 - 4
BOC
29%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VEL
0 - 0
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
IND
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |